Evolution pervades all existence, from cosmology to biology to
technology. It is curious that Moore's Law has such a definite and accurate
timeline. Charles Darwin, the father of evolution, could hardly present so
accurate a prediction himself, but that may be because he primarily operated
within biology and may not have known how evolution was so applicable outside
his realm of expertise. Biology, of course, is completely dependent upon
individual change being passed on and adopted by species either through
reproduction or by mimicry.
In contrast, Moore's Law and,
by extension, convergence, rely upon several concentrated efforts toward a
common, and mutually beneficial goal: greater tech to spread the world over.
That is not to say that technology developments are not competitive, but rather
that life and death are not at stake. Adapting someone else tech and then
expanding it would not be quite as unforgivable as learning one man's method
for farming, developing it further and then stealing his field. Technology
developments and the expansive space of the World Wide Web when combined with
an increase in population and capital leads mostly to a greater number of
opportunities, without stepping on someone else's toes, but I'm sure that many
cutthroats run amuck.
The biggest foot that threatens
seems to be the technological foot itself. What happens if the tech develops
itself and leaves us behind? Although some "experts" scoff at the
idea, others gawk in exasperation and fear. What if?.... what if, indeed.
Something that definitely sets technological development apart
from biological or any natural, meaning not manmade, evolutionary development
is the way that the separate pieces can converge,
coming together to create something new, and in record time. A doubling of
whatever level, whether software or hardware, in but two years, can be
frightening if not amazing, simply because it clearly surpasses the rate of
human evolution. If the artificial intelligence were to reach singularity, then
would man ever be capable of catching up? According to the interpretation of
the intersection of Moore’s Law and Darwin, well, no. And that is truly
frightening. Convergence would then allow tech to continue adopting other forms
of itself and expanding double.
However, if singularity is truly outside possibility, then
convergence and Moore’s Law will continue to offer greater and more grand possibilities
for mankind provided that mankind can utilize this tech without exhausted the
world’s resources. Cloud computing seems particularly helpful to this
development. The moment that we can truly make more out of what we already have
without physically making more is the moment that we may reach salvation.
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